The Effect of Cutting Unemployment Compensation Duration on Unemployment Rate and Wages

The Effect of Cutting Unemployment Compensation Duration on Unemployment Rate and Wages

Authors

  • Xinyi Zhang School of Economics and Management, Suzhou Vocational Institute of Industrial Technology, Suzhou, China

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.53469/ijomsr.2025.08(04).13

Keywords:

Unemployment Compensation, Difference-in-Difference, Triple-D methodology

Abstract

To estimate the effect of a decrease in unemployment compensation duration on unemployment rate and wages, this paper utilizes a quasi-experiment and implements a difference-in-differences (DID) methodology to evaluate the impact of cutting unemployment compensation (UC) duration from 26 weeks to 20 weeks in 2012 on unemployment rate by comparing the treatment group, the Michigan state, with the adjacent control states, Indiana and Ohio. This paper also implements a Triple-D methodology to evaluate the effect of cutting UC duration across regions and categorizes each state in Metropolitan Areas (metro), Micropolitan Areas (micro) and countryside. Lastly, this paper tests the effect of cutting UC duration on average weekly earnings in 2012 using the same DID method in three major industries of the Michigan State, Manufacturing Sector, Goods-Producing Sector and Private Service Providing Sector. My results conclude that the cutting of UC duration decreases unemployment rate by 1.377 percentage points state-widely and has a larger impact on the metro areas compare with micro areas. My findings report that there was a decrease in wages by approximately 90 dollars in 2012 Manufacturing and Goods-Producing sectors.

References

Blanchard, O. J., & Summers, L. H. (1986). Hysteresis and the european unemployment problem. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 1, 15-78.

Card, D., & Levine, P. B. (2000). Extended benefits and the duration of UI spells: Evidence from the new jersey extended benefit program. Journal of Public Economics, 78(1-2), 107-138.

Centeno, M., & Novo, A. A. (2008). The impact on reemployment wages of UI non-distortionary liquidity effect: A regression discontinuity approach.

Chimerine, L., Black, T. S., Coffey, L., & Matzke, M. K. (1999). Unemployment insurance as an economic stabilizer: Evidence of effectiveness over three decades US Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration, Unemployment Insurance Service, Division of Research and Policy.

Ehrenberg, R. G., & Oaxaca, R. L. (1976). Unemployment insurance, duration of unemployment, and subsequent wage gain. The American Economic Review, 66(5), 754-766.

Farber, H. S., & Valletta, R. G. (2015). Do extended unemployment benefits lengthen unemployment spells? evidence from recent cycles in the US labor market. Journal of Human Resources, 50(4), 873-909.

Fujita, S. (2010). Economic effects of the unemployment insurance benefit. Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia Business Review, 4

Gruber, J. (1994). No title. The Consumption Smoothing Benefits of Unemployment Insurance,

Holland, P. (2012, November). Unemployment Insurance in Michigan. Retrieved April 16, 2020, from https://www.house.mi.gov/hfa/Archives/PDF/Alpha/Unemployment_Ins_Fiscal Focus.pdf

Isaacs, K. P. (2018). Unemployment insurance: Consequences of changes in state unemployment compensation laws.

Jensen, H. H. (1982). Analysis of fringe benefits for nonmetropolitan versus metropolitan employee compensation. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 64(1), 124-128.

Johnston, A. C., & Mas, A. (2018). Potential unemployment insurance duration and labor supply: The individual and market-level response to a benefit cut. Journal of Political Economy, 126(6), 2480-2522.

Katz, L. F., & Meyer, B. D. (1988). No title. The Impact of the Potential Duration of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment,

Le Barbanchon, T., Rathelot, R., & Roulet, A. (2019). Unemployment insurance and reservation wages: Evidence from administrative data. Journal of Public Economics, 171, 1-17.

Maggio, M. D., & Kermani, A. (2016). No title. The Importance of Unemployment Insurance as an Automatic Stabilizer,

Mitman, K., Manovskii, I., & Hagedorn, M. (2015). The impact of unemployment benefit extensions on employment: The 2014 employment miracle? Paper presented at the 2015 Meeting Papers, (1318)

Nekoei, A., & Weber, A. (2017). Does extending unemployment benefits improve job quality? American Economic Review, 107(2), 527-561.

O'Leary, C. J., & Wandner, S. A. (1997). Unemployment insurance in the united states: Analysis of policy issues.

Van Ours, J. C., & Vodopivec, M. (2006a). Duration of unemployment benefits and quality of post-unemployment jobs: Evidence from a natural experiment The World Bank.

Van Ours, J. C., & Vodopivec, M. (2006b). How shortening the potential duration of unemployment benefits affects the duration of unemployment: Evidence from a natural experiment. Journal of Labor Economics, 24(2), 351-378.

Downloads

Published

2025-04-28

Issue

Section

Articles
Loading...